Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Weekend Preview.

As most of you probably saw, the TCU/Tech game has not yet been announced, but we DO know that it will either be played at 11:00 AM on FX or 2:30 PM on ABC.  I'm no TV executive, but I think I'm safe in assuming that the powers that be are waiting to see how this weekend's games shake out before they make a decision on how they will slot Baylor/Texas and TCU/Tech next weekend;  I think we can draw the conclusion that neither OU/Kansas nor OSU/Iowa State are turning many heads in the boardrooms. There are three games we need to keep an eye on this Saturday:  TCU/Baylor, Texas/Oklahoma and West Virginia/Tech.  So before we begin, let's play a little "If/Then," shall we?

IF TCU, Texas and WVU Win, THEN TCU/Tech early, Baylor/Texas late.

IF TCU, Texas and Tech Win, THEN Baylor/Texas early, TCU/Tech late.  

IF TCU, OU and Tech Win, THEN Baylor/Texas early, TCU/Tech late.

IF TCU, OU and WVU win, THEN Baylor/Texas early, TCU/Tech late.

IF Baylor, Texas and WVU Win, THEN TCU/Tech early, Baylor/Texas late.

IF Baylor, Texas and Tech Win, THEN TCU/Tech early, Baylor/Texas late.

IF Baylor, OU and WVU Win, THEN TCU/Tech early, Baylor/Texas late.

IF Baylor, OU and Tech Win, THEN TCU/Tech early, Baylor/Texas late.  This is probably the hardest scenario to predict as Tech and Baylor would have one loss and TCU and Texas would both have two. Going with Texas here because they are the bigger national draw.

I think that covers them all?  By my math, the odds are looking like we'll wind up with the early game, but who knows?  Maybe the Frogs bounce back from last week's loss and WVU reads too many of their press clippings and runs into a Tech team angry after getting drop kicked by OU last week?  Truthfully, our game with Baylor is probably the wild card as most expect OU and WVU to win their games.  So there's a lot at stake Saturday night in Waco.  Do the faithful get up with the roosters and mix morning dranks while the majority of our fans drag in after halftime after Tech has already taken over the stadium?  Or do the faithful get to ride in hot at 2:30, while the majority of our fans complain that each seat at AGCS doesn't come equipped with its own personal thermostat after Tech has already taken over half the stadium?  No pressure, Frogs.

To the rest of the weekend:

Game of the Week, Direct Impact - Lurker:  #24 Louisiana Tech vs #21 aggy.  Perhaps lost a little bit in the shuffle of last week's loss was that TCU managed to stay alive in the latest edition of the Coaches' Poll at #23.  In previous editions of the preview I've referenced the AP poll, mostly because when I check out the schedule on ESPN that is how the games are displayed.  However, in order to spin the cirucumstances to our favor, I will have to reference the Coaches Poll when picking games, at least for this week.  This is probably as it should be anyway as it is the only poll that counts towards the BCS.  Oh, and also, aggy probably won't lose to Louisiana Tech, but it would be REAL cool if they did, although truth be told we probably wouldn't lose any ground as LT would jump us and aggy would fall behind.  Honorable Mentions:  #25 Iowa State vs. #6 KSU.

Game of the Week, Direct Impact - Leaper:  #18 Mississippi State vs. Tennessee.  The game above would also qualify, but this one seems more likely to  happen.  I'm solely basing this on the fact that, in a world where ESPN rushes to fluff any seemingly good SEC team, MSU is 5-0 and only ranked 18th, so surely there are some flaws there, no?  Tennessee has been their usual lol selves, but if they want to save Derek Dooley's career, they might want to start in Starkville.  Honorable Mentions:  #17 Stanford @ #7 Notre Dame, #16 Louisville vs. Pitt.

Game of the Week, Conference Impact:  #15 Texas vs. #10 OU.  SnK went over it a below post, so I won't step on any toes here.  I think this one will be a lot better than folks expect.  Texas' defense is SHAKY in the nine positions not named Alex Okafor and Jackson Jeffcoat, but it's possible they're being judged a little harshly after playing the two best offenses in the Conference two weeks in a row.  As for Oklahoma, they rolled Tech, but that doesn't make the injuries, lack of WR depth and the general stink of the first month of the season magically go away.  OU is certainly better coached and probably the better team, but this one is almost always a tossup.  I vote OU because I don't want to play at 11:00 AM next week.  Oh, and also, die Texas!

Game of the Week, National Impact:  #3 South Carolina @ #8 LSU.  This one lost a little bit of luster due to LSU's woefully incompetent offensive showing against Florida this past weekend, but don't tell that to the Fightin' Spurriers after their destruction of division rival Georgia.  USC/Fla can't get here soon enough for SECphiles.  Outside of a shaky performance against Vandy to open the season, USC has looked brutally effective on both sides of the ball, especially on defense where they rank 4th nationally.  However, despite LSU's flops against Auburn and Florida, they have also put on quite a defensive show, ranking 8th.  So far this year Carolina has looked a little rough on the road, ekeing out that 4 pointer against Vandy and then falling behind Kentucky before a second half comeback, so a 7:00PM game in Death Valley MIGHT pose some issues.  HUGE trap game for the Cocks, here.  Should be a fun one to watch presuming my wife allows me to drag TV #2 into the living room.

Game of the Week, Plain 'Ol Hate:  N/A.  Much like TCU/SMU, our own game is the Hate Bowl of the week, so all other hate is null and void.  If I HAD to pick, you'd have to default it to Tulane and SMU, but WOO BOY is Tulane bad.  Like, worse than SMU if you can believe that, so no expectations there.

Game of the Week Oops, I Crapped My Pants (Placeholder for UT Chokejob, when applicable): #4 WVU @ Texas Tech.  Since UT/OU isn't really a chokejob, and aggy vs. LT doesn't qualify either, due to ranking, I had to think outside the box a little.  Truthfully, I think WVU wins this game and wins healthily, but I can't take my mind off of that line which began the week at 4.5 and is now 3.5 and ticking down.  What am I missing that Vegas isn't?  Did they not see the box score for last week's game against OU?  I guess it makes sense if you think about how WVU had a rough time getting past Baylor and when you consider Tech has a better defense and about an equal offense to that of the Bears.   I realize this SCREAMS trap game for them after UT and making 2 near-cross country flights in back to back weeks doesn't help, either.  Maybe we're all just too caught up in the media hype about the Mountaineers and they're due a fall?  Actually, I'm kind of talking myself into a Tech upset now that I think about it.  So I guess the question is, should we go against all of our instincts and root for Tech in hopes that they roll into Cowtown vastly overconfident next weekend?  It'd sure make the Conference race a little more interesting.  

Game of the Week - Culture Clash:  UTSA @ Rice.  Well, it's not Iowa State and Kansas State, that's for sure, although "Farmageddon" has to be the greatest rivalry name in sports, no?  The matchups were thin this week, but commuter school in America's butthole kids vs. the guys that will one day run the companies where they are employed for minimum wage?  That'll work.  Sadly, now that we're mostly in Conference play, the culture clash may have to be retired due to the regionalism of the matchups going forward.  We'll keep it alive one more week just to be sure, though.





7 comments:

Travis said...

Even CDC made a fan support comment on his Notes on a Scorecard. Granted, it was much more politically correct and gentile, which we have come to expect from our great AD, than this comment or SWW's. Basically it said, quite being fair weathered pussies. Get you asses in your seats well before kickoff, and get you asses back in your seats before the second half. Get liquored up, be loud, and bring you own Goddamn flask of your favorite flavor if you want. No more excuses about the heat, the rain, the cold, or Fall break. I'll be so fucking embarrassed to be a Frog if a 1/4 of our stadium is red versus Tech! Strap it up and support your Frogs!

JHale said...

Agreed.

David Persons said...

Well said Travis - 90% of everything is showing up!

Sir Wesley Willis said...

The only thing that terrifies me is an 11AM start for tech. No chance the older alumni make it before noon.

Travis said...

Me too! Your If, Then scenarios were right on the mark. We need a Frog victory, for obvious reasons, and at least an OU victory. I really cannot root for Tech, even though a WVU loss would slow their role and might be best? Still aggravates me that I can drive in from Prosper with my 9,8, and 3 year olds, and still have two hours of tailgating and Frog Alley. Oh, and I bring along my buddy Jim in my favorite flask. Buy a damn flask people! Does the Varsity sell them?

JHale said...

Seriously... I don't think they even care if you have one... I walked in the other game with it in my back pocket not even trying to hide it and no issues at all. I don't think i'd recommend it for everyone but they are pretty relaxed (minus the student section -- I saw a few kids get booted last week but that was mainly for throwing beer cans -- called a few of them idiots)

Sir Wesley Willis said...

Yeah apparently the student section kinda ruined that whole situation. We never had problems in V I don't feel like, unless you were just absolutely blatant about drinking. RIP, Sec V.

I feel quite positive the varsity sells booze consuming vessels.