Thursday, July 28, 2011

Guest Blogger: TechTard Stat Hate Edition



With Texas Tech's football vagina resurfacing in the news again, our friend Rotten Arsenal had a chance to develop some Tech hate in the form of stats. Enjoy this deprecating spew of numbers that further proves Texas Tech's irrelevance in the football world.

Okay, so we’re all up to speed on Texas Tech bailing on their scheduled game with TCU in Fort Worth for the 2011 season, right? And, despite what the TechTards want to claim, TCU did not initiate the cancellation of last year’s game in Lubbock, as Angry Trey shows us in fine detail.

So, this post is not so much directly aimed at the current events as it is a Historical Stat Hate Post – Texas Tech Edition.

Of all the idiot fans we’ve dealt with lately due to our recent national exposure, there are some that really stand out. Almost any Big Ten School fan is wonderfully arrogant about their undeserved status as a power, but they can be somewhat forgiven because “they ain’t from around here” and their little brains do well to remember where they live. They can’t be expected to know much about Texas Football.
And the SEC… arrogant as hell, but it’s a little harder to deny them since they seem to have a stranglehold on the Post Season #1 ranking of late.

Then you get to our state brethren… the UT, A&M, Baylor, SMU, and Tech. These guys are all horrifically bad. But UT at least has a recent history of success, A&M and SMU do have National Championships in their trophy cases, and even Baylor has got a long historical tradition of something resembling relevance (at least pre-Big 12). So as stupid as their fanbases can be, they at least have SOMETHING to base their ludicrous egos on.

But then you have Texas Tech… and they have… absolutely nothing. Jack Shit. Fuck All.

Texas Tech Started playing in 1925, almost 30 years after TCU and 10 years after SMU. Only Houston of the old SWC has a younger program than Tech. They are the youngest member of the Big 12-2. They started out as an Independent and then in 1932 joined something called the Border Intercollegiate Athletic Association. There they faced teams like Arizona, Arizona State Teachers’-Flagstaff (Northern Arizona), Arizona State Teachers’-Tempe (Arizona State), University of New Mexico, New Mexico A&M (New Mexico State), Texas Mines (UTEP), Hardin-Simmons, and West Texas Teachers (West Texas A&M). They then spent 3 years as an independent again before joining the SWC in 1960.

Now, while Tech had success in the Border Collie Whatever Conference (8 outright championships, 1 co-championship), they have been almost completely irrelevant ever since. In fact, since joining a real conference, Tech has just 3 CO-Championships. That’s right… they have shared a conference title 3 times in the last FIFTY years and have no outright championships. None.

They were SWC Co-Champs in 1976 with Houston (although Houston beat them head to head that year) and again in 1994 when they shared it with EVERYBODY ELSE IN THE SWC except Houston and SMU. A&M had the best record but had to forfeit the title because of NCAA sanctions, so 5 teams with 4-3 conference records shared the title. It should be noted that TCU beat them that year.

And the Big12 hasn’t been any better. They had that one co-championship for the South Division in 2008 that they “shared” with OU and UT.
So, in the last 50 years, they have not only been the definition of mediocre, they don’t even have a significant co-championship claim.

Overall win percentage, Tech is an above average .564 with 519 wins in 949 attempts (TCU is .529, 580 wins in 1150 games) and on the surface, it would seem that Tech has a little bit of bragging rights there. Of course, this record is largely due to their incredible ability to be mediocre. In 85 seasons, they have 6 seasons in which they won at least 10 games (TCU, over that same period, has 11).
Head to head, Tech has the series going 28-23-3 against the Frogs, although it should be noted that 18 of those wins came during the incredibly awful 70’s, 80’s, and 90’s. Tech came into the SWC at the right time essentially. Right when the bigger schools started to become juggernauts and the smaller schools struggled to compete, Tech came into a conference rich in tradition and beat the poor schools and lost to the rich schools. Pretty much what it has always done.

How have they done against other Texas schools? Well, they are 36-32-1 against Baylor (which looks decent now, but before the current 15 game Big12 win streak, they were a pitiful 21-32-1), 11-18-1 vs Houston, 15-45 vs Texas, 32-36 vs Aggie, 32-16 vs SMU, and 27-20 vs Rice. So again, Tech has a long history of beating the not so good teams and losing to the better teams. Mediocre.

Bowl record: 85 seasons, 34 bowl appearances, 12 wins and 1 tie.

Against other Conferences, Tech looks remarkably similar to TCU. Both have losing records all-time against current Big12 teams (.415 for TCU, .474 for TT) and big winning records against current MWC teams ( TCU=.721, TT=.677). Other conferences are about equal as well. So, despite a massive number of terrible seasons for TCU, Tech and TCU’s overall winning percentages are roughly similar. See, it all evens out. TCU had some great seasons and some horrible seasons to be about a .500 historical team. Tech just had nothing but mediocrity.

And then there’s rankings… the highest Tech has ever finished the season in the AP is 11 (1938 and 1973). They’ve finished in the Top 20 3 times in the last 20 years (18(2004), 20(2005), and 12(2008)). In their history, they have ended the season ranked in the AP 11 times (TCU=16).

And as far as history and legacy go, Tech fans just have absolutely nothing to brag about. There are no National Championships, no Heisman winners, no major college football awards named after former players, and no NFL Hall of Famers. TCU, however, does have all of those things.

So, looking at it knowing Tech’s history, the decision to cancel the game against TCU in 2011 just seems to be part of Tech’s goal… to achieve mediocrity. Why play a possibly notable game when you can play other non-attention grabbing teams.
Tech fans really should step back, look at what they have “achieved” and contemplate whether they actually have anything to really be proud of… but they won’t because rational thought is not in the Tech Toolbox.

Taking Inventory: Safeties

Because they each have so much on-field responsibility and because there are three of them in a 4-2-5 defense, safety is the most important position for the TCU football team. Unfortunately, it's also one of the positions that was hardest hit by graduation. All-American Tejay Johnson, NFL draftee Colin Jones, Alex Ibiloye and super walk-on Tyler Lutrell all exhausted their eligibility at the end of the 2010 season, and up & coming star Jurrell Thompson was dismissed from the team after repeated rules violations.

One of the signs of a healthy football program is seniors stepping up year after year. Filling the leadership void in the defensive secondary this fall will be seniors Tekerrein Cuba and Johnny Fobbs. Cuba is by far the most experience returning safety, having started nine games in three years- including six in 2010 when he was fifth on the team in tackles. He'll handle starting duties at weak safety this fall. Fobbs is pencilled in as the starter at free safety, where he'll be replacing Johnson as the QB of the defense. He's played sparingly in 32 games over his first three years, but being able to watch Tejay all those years will likely pay off in his understanding of the game.

That's where the experience runs out- but luckily, not the talent. At strong safety, sophomore Trent Thomas- who played in just three games last year- is currently #1 on the depth chart. Pushing him for that job is redshirt freshman Sam Carter, a sensational athlete who spent last year as a quarterback.

Both of the senior starters will have very capable young backups. Sophomore Elisha Olabode will be Fobbs' understudy at free safety after playing cornerback last year as a true freshman. Hard-hitting redshirt freshman Jonathan Anderson, whom the coaches have apparently raved about since the minute he stepped foot on campus, will back up Cuba at weak safety.

Junior Chris Scott, who came to TCU as a highly-regarded recruit but has had injury problems in his first few years, could contribute if he can stay healthy. Along with him, a group of walk-ons (most notably former Aledo star Danny Heiss and former Kansas Mr. Football and converted QB Rick Settle) will attempt to hold off a talented bunch of true freshmen who will no doubt be looking to get on the field straight away:

-Chris Hackett, a ball-hawker who picked off 12 passes, broke up 12 more and forced 4 fumbles on his way to Rivals.com and Parade Magazine All-American honors as a senior at Tyler John Tyler.

-Jamie Byrd, a hard-hitter from Florida who led his team in tackles two years in a row and spurned Boise State to come to TCU.

-Quincy Aldridge, who has NFL and MLB athletes in his immediate family and lettered four times at Whitehouse HS (Luke Shivers' alma mater). Turned down Notre Dame to come to TCU.

-James Bailey, a local kid who did just about everything at Everman HS. He had scholarship offers from Big 12 and Pac 10 teams, and once he focuses on one position he'll do well quickly.

How do you see things shaking out at safety for the Frogs this year? Will the current starting lineup of Cuba, Fobbs and Thomas indeed be the starting trio against Baylor...and what about at the end of the year? Which of the younger guys on the two-deep will make the biggest impact this year? Who's the next NFL prospect safety from TCU? Which of the true freshmen (if any) will play this fall?

Morning Dump

Making plays keeps TCU's Carder on right track Star-Telegram

Craig Thompson gets all Freudian up in this bitch Star-Telegram

MWC Media Days wrap up ESPN

Chris Del Conte's Notes on a Scorecard gofrogs.com
-Season ticket sales up to 19,800