Thursday, June 18, 2009

Another BCS Title Value Team: Texas Christian

Article from Bodog:

You could bet on the Florida Gators (2/1 odds) to win the BCS title. But that would be too easy. The real money is on a team like Texas Christian (60/1 odds).

If you think my recommendation a few weeks ago of putting a few dollars down on Notre Dame at 25/1 on Bodog's odds to win the BCS National Championship this season was hogwash, then you'll really laugh at this long shot value bet recommendation: Texas Christian.

But hear me out.

How overlooked are the Horned Frogs? Bodog doesn't even give them odds to win it all, so they are part of the field at 60/1. This is despite the fact that TCU finished last season 11-2 (ranked seventh in the final polls) and knocked off unbeaten Boise State in the Poinsettia Bowl - that was the Frogs' fourth bowl win in a row, and only six other teams have streaks that long.

Coach Gary Patterson has 10 starters coming back, six on offense on four on defense. It was defense that carried this team in 2008, as it ranked first in total defense, second to USC in scoring defense, second in sacks and allowed a ridiculous 612 yards rushing all season. Yes, that unit lost seven starters from last season, but TCU has led the Mountain West in total defense every year but one since moving to the conference. So clearly Patterson, a former defensive coordinator, knows what he’s doing.

In addition, one of the four defenders returning in 2009 is the best one: All-American defensive end Jerry Hughes, who led the nation with 15 sacks and six forced fumbles last year.

The offense will be led by Andy Dalton, who emerged as a top-flight quarterback in the second half of last season after returning from an injury. In TCU’s first five games, Dalton had no touchdown passes and averaged 163.6 yards per game. In the Frogs' final six he averaged 237.3 yards in the air and had 11 TDs. And in TCU's final two home games, Dalton was 37-of-49 for 655 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions (of course that was vs. Air Force and Wyoming). Dalton's leading receiver in 2008, Jimmy Young, also is back.

Texas Christian's schedule sets up for an unbeaten run. Its toughest tests should come Sept. 26 at Clemson and Oct. 24 at BYU. But the Frogs are 26-13 on the road since 2003, which is the seventh-best winning percentage in the country. Utah is always a threat in the MWC, but the Frogs get them in Fort Worth this season and TCU is 31-4 at home since 2003, the sixth-best winning percentage in the country since '03.

So would a 12-0 TCU even get a berth in the BCS National Championship game? I might argue yes. After all, Utah earned the Mountain West some major respect with its rout of Alabama in last year's Sugar Bowl. And if you look at each BCS conference, there is no lock unbeaten in any of those. All the Frogs have to do is steal one spot, and should they get the chance they are 11-3 in their past 14 games against BCS teams.

I’m not saying put your life savings down at 60/1, but TCU is definitely worth a look.



Here are the stat's for the nations top 10 Team Total Defense:


Top 10 Team Total Defense for 2000-2008

Team

Games

Yardage

Avg. ypg

1

Virginia Tech

116

33270

286.8103

2

LSU

115

33852

294.3652

3

Miami (Fla.)

110

32478

295.2545

4

TCU

109

32395

297.2018

5

Ohio St.

112

33401

298.2232

6

Oklahoma

119

35712

300.1008

7

Alabama

112

33764

301.4643

8

Southern California

114

34408

301.8246

9

Georgia

114

34707

304.4474

10

Auburn

112

34293

306.1875



Top 10 Team Total Defense from 2005-2008
(Since TCU has joined the MWC)

Team

Games

Yards

Avg. ypg

1

Virginia Tech

54

14141

261.8704

2

Ohio St.

51

13870

271.9608

3

TCU

51

14041

275.3137

4

LSU

53

14900

281.1321

5

Alabama

52

15111

290.5962

6

Penn St.

51

15002

294.1569

7

Miami (Fla.)

50

14841

296.82

8

Florida

53

15872

299.4717

9

Clemson

51

15336

300.7059

10

Georgia

52

15690

301.7308

Man Cheats on His Taxes.....by Asking for $14 Trillion

Since TCU news is a little light at the moment, I thought this might be entertaining. You have to give this guy some credit for trying...right?

MIAMI NEW TIMES: They don’t call Marlon T. Moore “X-Large” for nothing. Back in December 2007, Moore, a 38-year-old Miami resident, walked out of the federal pen in Coleman, Florida after serving a six year sentence on felony money laundering charges as part of a cocaine smuggling ring. Soon after his release, Moore embarked upon a truly brilliant criminal enterprise: He did his taxes. It may not sound like much of a crime. But “X-Large” Moore — one of several aliases he used, including Dammon Green and Tyrone Moore — wasn’t exactly noting a few dependents and asking for a refund. In separate filings, Moore asked for $5,959,000,000,000 and $2,975,000,000,000. A third form rounded up and asked for another $6,000,000,000,000. (That’s $5 trillion, $2.97 trillion and $6 trillion, for the math averse). Just for good measure, Moore allegedly filled out a final U.S. Individual Income Tax Return Form 1040 asking for $10 million. If the IRS had accepted Moore’s claims, the payout would have exceeded the U.S. national debt. They did not. Moore was indicted today on four counts of submitting false claims and impeding due administration of tax laws.