Tuesday, December 23, 2008
I'd like to start off by saying that, while I understand I have far more free time at work than a lot of you, there's still no excuse for the lack of participation on the blog today considering the circumstances this evening. I'm very disappointed in all of you.
As for my post, I was just going to say that Boise may not want to use this story as a recruiting tool. When I read about the bowl games, it sounds like there is definitely a lot of work involved, but it's also a time for for the teams to be active in the community, go see a few attactions, and really enjoy themselves as a reward for a successful season. Unless you're a redshirt athlete at Boise. Then you get to train with the Navy Seals at 7:00 AM. I am not sure if any of you have watched the Navy Seals BUD/S training on the Discovery Channel, but I have, and it's anything but a vacation. Honestly, anyone who can make it through that gauntlet is probably in the top 1% of toughest people on earth. For anyone who denies this, I urge you to read Marcus Luttrell's Lone Survivor, which is a true account of the worst loss of life in SEAL history, but also outlines in great detail all the training it takes to become a SEAL. Regardless, after being a hitting dummy in practices all year, I'm sure this isn't the reward the young Broncos had in mind.
For all my fellow degenerate gamblers out there, this is a pretty good breakdown of the why the lines are set where they are. Big money on the Frogs and the under.
What bettors need to know:Poinsettia Bowl - Covers.com
Before getting to it, a few clarifications. One, I'm not going to go back and change the preview itself, but after thinking about it more, I'm calling the WR matchup a push. Partly because I think it's unfair if the game is too far skewed in favor of TCU because it's very evenly matched in most aspects, but mostly because it's the right call. They may not statistically have a Jimmy Young or Jeremy Kerley, but they've got about as close as we've seen all year and they have the second best QB we've seen all year, and that's only because the other guy won a Heisman. Also, as we're all fully aware, RH-51 is not going to be blowing anyone up tonight, but, honestly, this is a personnel loss that isn't going to sink us. Losing his leadership is going to be tough, and we're all aware how he gets the crowd and team more fired up than anyone else, but Daryl Washington is a more than adequate replacement who has played plenty of minutes throughout his career. It won't be like having Henson back there, but it's probably the next best thing. This will not change my linebacker edge. Lastly, and most importantly, having a healthy Jeremy Kerley back I think is going to be the most important thing for this team. I actually feel that this negates the loss of Henson. Before I make my call on the game, though, let's recap the prediction.
Tally - TCU: 4.5, Boise: 3.5.
That seems about right to me. What do I think is going to happen? I think the 41 point o/u is spot on. I don't think Boise is going to score more than two TDs, but I also don't think we'll score much more than that. I think the kicking game will come into play and that Ross Evans needs to sack up and redeem himself. I think TCU will try to ram the ball down Boise's throats and exploit that matchup. I think Kellen Moore will beat our D backs on a few plays, maybe even a big one, but I don't think he's going to have a whole lot of time to throw. Basically, I think it's going to be an intensely physical game controlled at the line and I think TCU is going to come away with the win.
The call - TCU 24, Boise 17.
"Football is a violent game played by violent people, so put a smile on your face, murder in your heart and lets go kick these fuckers in the mouth" -Dick Bumpas, TCU Defensive Coordinator
*special thanks to Threads for the killer quote.
Matchup makes Poinsettia Bowl on par with BCS' best Star-Telegram
Like Mirrored images, neither TCU nor Boise State wants to crack Star-Telegram
Sammy Baugh was common man who enjoyed the fast lane Star-Telegram
TCU, Boise State making best of it Dallas Morning News
Graduation day for TCU football GoFrogs.com
Unbeaten Broncos try to fend of TCU AP
BSU's Peterson, TCU's Patterson have long history AP
Boise State, TCU employ similar plans for success San Diego Union-Tribune
Poinsettia Bowl has makings of a classic Idaho Statesman
Bumpas' road sound, scenic Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
Gary Patterson press conference Idaho Statesman
RB Johnson's magical Boise State run nears the goal line USA Today
Last of a dying breed? Idaho Press-Tribune
Broncos train with Navy SEALs Idaho Statesman
Peterson press conference Idaho Statesman